PhD


Do “Liberation Technologies” Change the Balance of Power Between Repressive StateS
AND CIVIL SOCIETY? 

Dissertation Committee:
Dan Drezner, Larry Diamond, Clay Shirky, Carolyn Gideon

Do new information and communication technologies (ICTs) empower repressive regimes at the expense of civil society, or vice versa? For example, does access to the Internet and mobile phones alter the balance of power between repressive regimes and civil society? These questions are especially pertinent today given the role that ICTs played during the recent uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt and beyond. Indeed, as one Egyptian activist stated, “We use Facebook to schedule our protests, Twitter to coordinate and YouTube to tell the world.” But do these new ICTs—so called “liberation technologies”—really threaten repressive rule? The purpose of this dissertation is to use mixed-methods research to answer these questions.

The first half of this doctoral study comprises a large-N econometric analysis to test whether “liberation technologies” are a statistically significant predictor of anti-government protests in countries with repressive regimes. If using the Internet and mobile phones facilitates organization, mobilization and coordination, then one should expect a discernible link between an increase in access to ICTs and the frequency of protests—particularly in repressive states. The results of the quantitative analysis were combined with other selection criteria to identify two country case studies for further qualitative comparative analysis: Egypt and the Sudan. The second half of the dissertation assesses the impact of “liberation technologies” during the Egyptian Parliamentary Elections and Sudanese Presidential Elections of 2010. The analysis focused specifically on the use of Ushahidi—a platform often referred to as a “liberation technology.” Descriptive analysis, process tracing and semi-structured interviews were carried out for each case study.

My dissertation is available for download here in PDF.

Main Contributions and Highlights:

New dataset on protests, ICTs, political and economic variables over 18 years.
* New econometric analysis and contribution to quantitative political science.
* New conceptual framework to assess impact of ICTs on social, political change.
* New operational application of conceptual framework to assess impact of ICTs.
* New datasets on independent citizen election observation in repressive states.
* New insights into role of ICTs in civil resistance against authoritarian regimes.
* New comprehensive literature on impact of ICTs on protests, activism, politics.
* New targeted policy recommendations based on data driven empirical analysis.
* New lessons learned and best practices in using the Ushahidi platform.

Here are my latest blog posts on my dissertation findings:

* Theorizing Ushahidi: An Academic Treatise
How Egyptian Activists Kept Their Ushahidi Project Alive Under Mubarak
*
 Analyzing Election Monitoring Reports from Egypt Using U-Shahid
*  ICTs, Democracy, Activism & Dictatorship: Comprehensive Literature Review
*  Impact of ICT on Democracy & Activism: Findings from Statistical Studies

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98 Responses to PhD

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  4. spacer Pete | November 6, 2008 at 2:38 pm | Reply

    Intriguing topic, Mr. Meier. Just curious: have you looked at Foucault’s notion of the Panopticon to negotiate this relationship between authoritarianism and social resistance? In terms of monitoring information flow, recent national security trends in several countries come close to a kind of Panopticon, an ultimate “I” if you will.

  5. spacer Patrick Philippe Meier | November 6, 2008 at 3:02 pm | Reply

    Thanks for your comments, Pete, much appreciated!

    Yes indeed, Foucault’s Panopticon was an important contributing factor in my decision to pursue this research topic. I made a reference to it in this blog entry:

    irevolution.wordpress.com/2008/04/30/netting-war-criminals-using-web-20/

    Thanks again for your comments!

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  9. Pingback: Smart Mobs » Blog Archive » Impact of ICTs on Repressive Regimes

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  12. spacer Wachanga | April 6, 2009 at 5:49 pm | Reply

    You may be interested in Paul Sturges’ (2004, 2005) liberation struggle information model. Robert Hayes (1993) article on Measurement of information may be invaluable, especially in delineating fact, data, information, understanding, knowledge and decisions. I used these sources to examine the use of sanctioned and clandestine radio broadcasting in pre- and post-independent Zimbabwe

    • spacer Patrick Philippe Meier | April 7, 2009 at 1:10 pm | Reply

      Thanks for theses excellent references, Dr. Wachanga, I really appreciate it!

  13. spacer miragabi | May 4, 2009 at 1:41 pm | Reply

    My name is Mira Nabulsi, I am a Palestinian researcher & I would like to write my PhD thesis on social media and socio-political change in the Arab world, I think your research is really interesting ..

    As I am still in the process of preparing my research proposal, I wonder if you can provide me with the list of literature brought up in this summery, or any that you think can be useful .. I still did not decide what my exact focus will be (I might write specifically on Palestine) yet I think finding literature is not an easy task :S

    I hope you don’t mind assisting !

    • spacer Patrick Philippe Meier | May 4, 2009 at 10:05 pm | Reply

      Hi Mira, I’d be happy to help, please send me an email: patrick.meier at tufts.edu

  14. spacer yishaym | July 8, 2009 at 1:55 pm | Reply

    Patrick -
    great topic, very much looking forward to reading this work. One suggestion: you phrased the research question in an objectivist mode. consider approaching this from a design science perspective.
    The objectivist framing pretends you don’t care who wins this war. But you do, we know you do, and you can’t avoid that. So put it upfront.
    It also assumes there is a clear-cut answer irrespective of the asker. Which we also know is wrong.
    In a way, the only honest answer to your question is “it depends”. It depends on what you call winning and how you go about measuring it.

    Rephrasing this as a design science questions would be more like: “How can the right side win?” to answer this, you will have to start from answering the first question, in a modest way, and then move on to clarify who you think should win and why, what actions could help, and experiment with these propositions.

    email me if you want to discuss this further. yishaym at gmail

    p.s. please tell Mira Nablusi I would also be happy to help her, I have personal vested interests in her research.

    • spacer Patrick Philippe Meier | July 8, 2009 at 1:59 pm | Reply

      Many thanks for your comments, Yishaym.

      On objectivity, I got very different guidance from my dissertation committee. They actually suggested I pitch the question the other way, ie, are repressive regimes empowered at the expense of resistance movement. In other words, they will definitely not except my asking “How can the right side win.” Instead they want me to make a case for why the regimes are likely to gain as opposed to the other way around. And of course, “it depends” will always factor in, there’d be no raison d’etre for academia otherwise spacer

      • spacer Min Jiang | January 19, 2011 at 5:35 pm |

        Patrick, interesting project. I, however, share Yishaym’s concerns.

        “Does the information revolution empower the coercive control of repressive regimes at the expense of social resistance movements, or vice versa? ” Not sure it’s an easy yes-no answer (and depending on how empowerment is defined and what contexts we are talking about). Plenty of literature suggests (I’m more familiar with China) that the interaction between the resistance movement and repressive regimes is not a zero-sum game. Both are getting smarter and more sophisticated as we speak. I’d be really interested in learning how empowerment is operationalized, measured, and how the pluses and minuses are calculated in your project (So I will definitely read your work spacer

  15. spacer yishaym | July 9, 2009 at 12:58 am | Reply

    ummm. On your right, a dissertation committee. On your left, some bloke from the left. Who do you choose?
    Someone once told me the most important thing to remember about your phd is to get it done. Whatever doesn’t fit, leave it for later. If it itches too bad, well, you always have your blog.
    Btw, I never said who the right side is, but it seems you, me, your dissertation committee – we all know who the goodies and the baddies are. Personally, I think its more scientific to acknowledge our values and biases, since they will taint our research whether we like it or not. but I’m not necessarily mainstream.

    • spacer yishaym | July 9, 2009 at 1:00 am | Reply

      typo: “some bloke from the net”

  16. spacer yishaym | July 9, 2009 at 12:59 am | Reply

    I should have said – good luck! I’m sure you’ll do a good job.

  17. spacer Vigneswara | July 13, 2009 at 4:20 am | Reply

    Hi Meier:
    Please contribute a paper for this workshop.
    www.iitd.ac.in/events/ICTD2010/
    Regards,
    Vignesh.

  18. spacer Morgen Peers | September 8, 2009 at 4:02 pm | Reply

    Hello. Great work on all fronts. I am the lead for the pursuit of a City TLD for Ottawa, Canada, i.e. www.protests.ottawa.

    I am interested in the role/situation of developing regional portals being developed in the public interest and the negotiations that must take place to ensure common access.

    I am curious what you think about Ushahidi and other points in your dissertation and City TLDs.

    Cheers

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  25. spacer yishaym | November 29, 2009 at 5:04 pm | Reply

    Patrick, a friend just pointed me to:
    www.cyberdissidents.org/
    They maintain a directory of dissident bloggers in the middle east, including those currently imprisoned.

    • spacer Patrick Philippe Meier | December 1, 2009 at 3:48 pm | Reply

      Good deal, many thanks Yishay!

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  35. spacer shiva | August 10, 2010 at 6:40 am | Reply

    Hello,
    I am shiva, Iranian reaeascher.
    I am so interested about your topic. would you please help me to find some references?

  36. spacer Sean | August 26, 2010 at 8:47 am | Reply

    Would you mind supplying further details for the above citation – ‘Walker 2007′? I’m keen to reference/further explore this but have been unable to locate any further bibliographic info on the website. Thanks

    • spacer Patrick Meier | September 5, 2010 at 1:44 pm | Reply

      Hi Sean, it was an MA Thesis by Chris Walker at The Fletcher School. I only have a hard copy.

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