Paul Ryan: Ideological Location and House and Senate Votes on the Ryan Budget

Posted on August 16, 2012 by voteview

Below we plot the distribution of DW-NOMINATE (ideological) scores of members of the 112th Congress by chamber and party. We also single out presumptive Republican Vice-Presidential nominee Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) and several figures of interest for comparison. We see that Paul Ryan has nearly the same ideological position as Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), both of whom are more conservative than Senators John McCain (R-AZ) and Rob Portman (R-OH) (who are nearly identical themselves) and Paul Ryan’s mentor (and 1996 Republican VP nominee) the late Rep. Jack Kemp (R-NY). Ryan is also among more conservative than the median Republican member of the 112th House and Senate. Note also the difference in polarization between the chambers, which is far more pronounced in the House.

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We also use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the House‚Äôs 235-193 vote on Paul Ryan’s budget (“The Path to Prosperity”) and the Senate’s 40-57 vote on the Ryan budget. The House vote was nearly party-line, with all voting Democrats opposing the bill and all but four voting Republicans supporting it (the four defections were Reps. Walter Jones (R-NC), David McKinley (R-WV), Ron Paul (R-TX), and Denny Rehberg (R-MT). In the Senate, there were more Republican defections, but still was close to a party-line vote (the defections being the four most moderate Senate Republicans: Sens. Scott Brown (R-MA), Susan Collins (R-ME), Lisa Murkoski (R-AK), and Olympia Snowe (R-ME) in addition to Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY)).

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