essays

How to Save the Global Economy
Foreign Policy – Jan/Feb 2012 (PDF Version)

Plate Tectonics and the Beautiful Theory of Continental Drift
Edge Question 2012 (PDF Version)

Can Yahoo be Rescued? Lessons from Apple.
New York Times – November 2, 2011 (PDF Version)

Summer of discontent 2012 will shape our decade to come.
San Francisco Chronicle – October 16, 2011 (PDF Version)

A Game for Elites, Not Day Traders.
New York Times – October 11, 2010 (PDF Version:242K)

Do you live in a “gayborhood”?
San Francisco Chronicle – July 15, 2011 (PDF Version:206K)

Americans should talk about politics more.
San Francisco Chronicle – August 7, 2011 (PDF Version:274K)

Time Span of Discretion
Edge Question 2011 (PDF Version)

New era, new god. The Economist – November 22, 2010

Service sharing essential in era of deep deficits. San Francisco Chronicle – November 7, 2010 (PDF Version:836K)

Secrets of Google’s Robo-Car. Daily Beast – October 11, 2010

The Bay Area needs to act like a city-state. San Francisco Chronicle – July 11, 2010 (PDF Version:1.3M)

A Third Kind of Knowledge
Edge Question 2010 (PDF Version)

A Looming American Diaspora. Harvard Business Review – February 2009

Get ready for a new economic era. McKinsey&Company What Matters – February 26, 2009

The Discovery of Non-Human Intelligence Will Cure Humankind’s Existential Loneliness
Edge Question 2009 (PDF Version)

The mouse turns 40. VentureBeat – December 5, 2008

Will the Treasury ‘Outsource’ the Bailout to Wall Street? ABCNews.com – September 30, 2008

Beware of PedTEXTrians! ABCNews.com – September 19, 2008

Obama’s ‘Cybergenic’ Edge. ABCNews.com – June 2008

High-Tech Quake May Shake More Than Silicon Valley. ABCNews.com – April 2008

The best forecasters will be computers
Edge Question 2008 (PDF Version)

Move Over, the Robot’s Driving. ABCNews.com – November 2007

Foreward to E.B. White: Notes on Our Times Levenger Press – 2007

The Real Climate Debate Is Yet To Come. ABCNews.com – September 2007

Six Rules for Effective Forecasting. Harvard Business Review – July/August 2007

Time for a Sea Change. FP Foreign Policy Magazine – May/June 2007 (PDF:360K)

Capitalism’s Diverging Future. January 2007 (PDF:146K)

Revolution in a bowl: Ramen Inventor Fueled Valley Innovators. San Jose Mercury News – January 14, 2007 (PDF:77K)

Humankind Is Particularly Good At Muddling. Edge Question 2007

Farewell Information, it’s a Media Age. December 2005 (PDF:92K)

The Ghost Dance Half the World is rushing toward the future and the other toward the past. Both have weapons. California Monthly – September 2005

GBN Book Club. GBN Book Club – May 2005 (PDF:645K)

Untangling the Future. Business2.0 – June 2002

Failure is the Best Medicine. Newsweek – March 2002

The Real Y2K Bug: Forget Your Computer—Worry About the Wacko Down the Street. 1999

Disinteremediation: Longer, Not Shorter Value Chains Are Coming. 1998

Lifeform Generation. 1998

Remembering Brendan Gill. 1998

Sensors: The Next Wave of Infotech Innovation. 1997

Are You Machine Wise?. 1997

The Future is Now. 1997

It’s the Context, Stupid. 1994

The Place of Originality in the Information Age. 1994

Cyberpunks Anticipate a New Digital Counterculture. 1993

Hot New Medium: Text. 1993

The Future of Travel. 1993

The Manager as Mystic. 1993

The 76-Year Century. 1992

Anxiously Waiting for the Millennium. 1992

Consumers and Interactive New Media: A Hierarchy of Desires. 1992

Electronic Piñata. 1992

Farewell, PC—What’s Next? 1991

Variable Prices: An Idea That Flies. 1991

Welcome to a World of Global Villages. 1990

Why the Next Computer Is Like the DeLorean Automobile. 1990

Information Surfing. 1989

Electronic Books. 1988

 

Photo Essays

Fighting Fire with Fire. San Francisco Chronicle Sunday Magazine – September 2001

Alang: The Realm of Lost Ships. Wired – February 2000

 

Publications

The Road from Trinity: Reflections on the Atom Bomb. 1998

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