The Pollster estimate for the 2012 presidential election. For 2012 election results, click here.
Updated Monday, Nov. 26 3:31 pm ET
Barack Obama
281
Electoral Votes
270 to win
Mitt Romney
191
Electoral Votes
Delaware
3 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
California
55 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
56%
Romney
39%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Connecticut
7 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
54%
Romney
41%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
District of Columbia
3 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
87%
Romney
8%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Hawaii
4 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
62%
Romney
33%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Illinois
20 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
57%
Romney
39%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Massachusetts
11 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
57%
Romney
39%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Maryland
10 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
58%
Romney
37%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Maine
4 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
53%
Romney
42%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Michigan
16 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Minnesota
10 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
New Jersey
14 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
53%
Romney
42%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
New Mexico
5 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
New York
29 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
60%
Romney
36%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Oregon
7 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
50%
Romney
44%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Rhode Island
4 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
60%
Romney
36%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Vermont
3 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
65%
Romney
30%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Washington
12 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Obama
Obama
54%
Romney
41%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Ohio
18 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Leans Obama
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Leans Obama
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
Confidence of Obama lead
100%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Nevada
6 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Leans Obama
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
Confidence of Obama lead
99%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Iowa
6 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Leans Obama
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
Confidence of Obama lead
97%
Click to see chart and latest polls
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Leans Obama
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
Confidence of Obama lead
97%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Virginia
13 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Tossup
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
Confidence of Obama lead
95%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Colorado
9 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Tossup
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
Confidence of Obama lead
92%
Click to see chart and latest polls
Florida
29 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Tossup
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Confidence of Obama lead
53%
Click to see chart and latest polls
North Carolina
15 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Tossup
Obama
47%
Romney
49%
Confidence of Romney lead
89%
Click to see chart and latest polls
South Carolina
9 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Romney
Obama
43%
Romney
52%
Confidence of Romney lead
90%
Alabama
9 electoral votes
HuffPost Model Estimate
Strong Romney
Obama
37%
Romney
58%
Confidence of Romney lead
100%