• Forgot Password?
  • Not a Member? Register here
spacer RSS Feed

Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

spacer
spacer

blog advertising is good for you
spacer
spacer
spacer
spacer

QUARTERBACKS 2012

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 12/31/2012

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the expected points added by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Total QBR is not adjusted for strength of opponent.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA, DYAR, and Total QBR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 100 passes, 39 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rank Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
T.Brady NE 2,035 1 1,928 2 35.1% 1 32.3% 77.1 2 662 4,623 6,311 34 2 0 8 63.5% 14/220
P.Manning DEN 1,800 2 1,970 1 32.7% 2 36.5% 84.1 1 602 4,526 5,744 37 0 2 11 69.0% 11/177
D.Brees NO 1,444 3 1,414 3 19.9% 5 18.8% 67.9 9 693 4,914 5,716 43 3 1 18 63.7% 4/50
A.Rodgers GB 1,395 4 1,292 5 23.3% 4 20.4% 72.5 5 602 4,016 5,156 39 1 4 8 67.7% 9/178
M.Ryan ATL 1,216 5 1,359 4 17.0% 7 19.8% 74.5 4 644 4,502 5,131 32 1 2 14 68.6% 6/60
T.Romo DAL 1,187 6 1,084 6 15.5% 9 12.8% 62.7 13 683 4,635 5,188 28 1 3 19 66.1% 7/124
M.Stafford DET 1,148 7 890 8 11.9% 12 6.3% 58.9 15 755 4,769 5,568 20 1 4 17 60.2% 7/140
R.Wilson SEA 867 8 745 12 19.7% 6 14.9% 69.6 8 429 2,915 3,443 26 3 3 9 64.4% 6/122
E.Manning NYG 770 9 811 10 9.5% 13 10.2% 67.4 10 555 3,785 4,056 26 2 1 15 60.1% 12/232
B.Roethlisberger PIT 757 10 774 11 13.1% 11 13.3% 62.8 12 473 3,068 3,553 25 1 2 8 64.3% 4/41
R.Griffin WAS 729 11 824 9 16.7% 8 19.9% 71.4 6 424 2,959 3,100 20 2 0 5 66.5% 5/91
M.Schaub HOU 695 12 899 7 7.4% 14 12.4% 62.6 14 572 3,811 3,956 22 4 0 12 64.3% 7/121
C.Kaepernick SF 553 13 472 13 25.7% 3 19.6% 76.8 3 234 1,687 1,955 10 2 0 3 62.7% 2/43
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA QBR Rank Passes Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI
C.Newton CAR 422 14 435 15 2.0% 15 1.9% 54.2 16 521 3,621 3,185 19 5 1 12 58.1% 6/43
A.Smith SF 420 15 371 18 14.9% 10 11.5% 70.1 7 243 1,610 1,868 13 0 1 5 70.3% 4/35
gipoco.com is neither affiliated with the authors of this page nor responsible for its contents. This is a safe-cache copy of the original web site.