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Greater Manchester Crime Futures

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The crime forecast for Greater Manchester is . . .

Recent reductions in crime might not continue over the coming 12 months. Crime rates might level out or increase, particularly in Manchester local authority area. Violent crime is the type of crime most likely to level out or increase. For a more detailed forecast go to The crime forecast for Greater Manchester.


Welcome to the Greater Manchester Crime Futures project.
This is a long-term project with the primary aim of exploring the relationship between crime and the economy in Greater Manchester in order to make defensible predictions about future crime trends. Its secondary aim is to develop a greater understanding about the relationship between crime and the economy.


Working Papers and Publications

  • Working papers are available to download at Working papers

  • Details about publications linked to the project can be found at Publications

The Greater Manchester Crime Futures project is run by the Policy Evaluation Research Unit (PERU) at Manchester Metropolitan University.


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