Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -1 -110 odds (February 10th 2012)
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Milwaukee comes into this game off a 105-99 road win against the Raptors on Wednesday. That win improved Milwaukee’s road record to just 4-10 on the season, so I could see where it would be hard for people to back the Bucks to win back-to-back away from home. Considering how bad the Bucks have been on the road, the fact that they are favored in this game should tell you something.

This is definitely a prime spot for Milwaukee to capture another rare road win, as the Cavaliers are expected to be without sensational rookie point guard Kyrie Irving. If you don’t think the loss of Irving will have an impact on this game, you must have a pretty short memory. Cleveland was arguably the worst team in the NBA last year, and it wasn’t until they drafted Irving did they start to become competitive. Not only are the Cavs expected to be without Irving, but starting shooting guard, Anthony Parker, is also expected to miss tonight’s game.

It would be one things if the Cavaliers were a dominant home team, but they are just 5-5 on their home floor this season. Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and I fully expect them to win this game tonight! BET THE BUCKS!

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Iowa vs. Northwestern
NCAA Basketball Pick: Iowa +7 -110 odds (February 9th 2012)
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Northwestern is coming off a big road win on Sunday at rival Illinois and now it is being asked to lay a big number against a team that possesses a better conference record. The Wildcats are now 4-6 in the Big Ten following two straight wins but getting that third straight victory will be a challenge as they have not won three straight games in the conference since the end of the 2008-09 season. Northwestern is 9-3 at home this season but just 3-2 in the conference.

The Hawkeyes have also won two straight and while both of those came at home, this is a much improved team from last season. Iowa won only four Big Ten games all of last season and a win here can put it into a tie for fifth place in the conference. Iowa has lost its last three road games in the Big Ten but those losses came against top teams in Purdue, Indiana and Michigan St. It does possess a quality road win at Wisconsin so winning on the road is certainly a possibility here.

Iowa will have a tough matchup on defense as the Wildcats employ the Princeton-style offense and the Hawkeyes must match up with Northwestern’s multiple three-point shooters and defend the backdoor plays. They defend the three-point shot well including allowing just 31.4 percent on the road. They should have a good gameplan in place after the Wildcats lit them up for 26 three-points in the two meetings last season. After allowing 103 points at Indiana, Iowa has allowed just 123 points the last two games.

As far as power ratings go, there is not a lot separating these two teams so a highly competitive game should be expected. The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS over the last 11 meetings in this series and this season the Hawkeyes are a perfect 3-0 ATS as underdogs of seven points or less. Meanwhile, Northwestern is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win and it is also 1-5 ATS in its last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 3* (735) Iowa Hawkeyes. If you found this Iowa vs. Northwestern pick useful, be sure to purchase Matt Fargo’s expert picks today!

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Boston Celtics
Betting Prediction: Boston Celtics -3.5 -110 odds (February 9th 2012)
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Healthy at last, Boston is playing its best ball winning nine of its last 10, including a season-high five in a row. The Lakers are not the elite team of past vintage. Kobe Bryant remains great and Los Angeles’ tall front line can cause matchup problems, but the Lakers have depth issues and backcourt problems, particularly at point guard. Until the Lakers prove otherwise, they are a fade on the road where they are 3-9 straight-up and ATS. The Lakers are giving up 97.2 points on the road, which is 12 more per game than they allow at home.

The Celtics have the defense to take advantage holding foes to a league-low 86.5 points per game, while also ranking No. 1 in defensive field goal percentage at 41.8. Maybe the Lakers can end their road woes here. They’ve been idle since Monday when they failed to cover as four-point road ‘dogs to the 76ers losing by five.

But I doubt that happens considering the Celtics are rested – having been at home since the start of the month and idle on Wednesday – at full strength and playing well. The Lakers have failed to cover nine of the past 11 times they’ve been a road ‘dog. They also are 3-9 ATS when playing on two days rest and are 4-10 ATS when taking on opponents with a winning mark. If you enjoyed this Lakers vs. Celtics prediction, be sure to buy Stephen’s premium NBA picks today!

Montreal Canadiens vs. New York Islanders
NHL Pick: Montreal Canadiens (February 9th 2012)
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My last free play resulted in a winner with Montreal on Tuesday. Listed as home underdogs, the Canadiens “upset” Pittsburgh. That was the second straight victory for the Canadiens. Prior to that, I’d backed them in their 3-0 victory over the Jets. While the Habs are now taking to the road, I feel that they’ve got an excellent shot at making it three in a row.

We’ll be getting a great price on the Canadiens, based on the fact that this game is being played at Long Island. However, home ice isn’t necessarily an advantage for these teams.

Surprisingly, the Isles have now won three straight on the road. They’ve lost back to back home games though. In fact, they’re now one of the few teams with a record which is worse (vs. the moneyline) at home than it is on the road. The Isles are 11-16 (11-11-5) at home and 11-14 (11-11-3) on the road.

Note that the Isles did win 1-0 in a shootout on Monday, getting a great effort from their goalie. However, they were dominated in that game, getting outshot by a 45-18 margin.

Despite winning back to back home games, the Canadiens are also one of the other teams which has a better record on the road. They’re 10-15 on the road but 11-18 at home.

Monday’s win against Pittsburgh came in a shootout, which may well have been just what the doctor ordered for the Habs. That was just the Canadiens’ second win in nine shootouts and could easily help to build some positive momentum.

Goalie Carey Price, who is starting to play much better, had this to say of the win over Pittsburgh: “We blew two leads but at the end of the day I thought we kept a really positive attitude on the bench…”

Tomas Plekanec, who scored the eventual winner in the shootout, had this to say of Price: “Carey was great again tonight. He gave us a chance to stay in the game and he was great again in the shootout.”

Both teams are starting to climb in the standings. Both are fighting to get back in the playoff race. Both have “hot” goalies, entering this game. The Canadiens are 13-6 the last 19 meetings in the series though and they’ve won six of their last nine trips to Long Island. The Canadiens also played much better than the Isles on Monday. Consider Montreal. Get more NHL picks for February 9th 2012 from Ben Burns at Touthouse.com

Michigan vs. Nebraska
Pick: Nebraska +3 -110 odds (February 8th 2012)
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This may look like a safe spot to bet Michigan as a small road favorite, but I believe your money needs to be on the Cornhuskers. Michigan is simply not a very good team on the road, where Nebraska easily plays their best basketball at home. In conference play the Wolverines are just 1-4 on the road, with their only win coming by 2-points at Purdue. Eight of Nebraska’s 11 wins have came at home, including a shocking win over Indiana as 3.5-point underdog.

Even though Michigan comes into this game off a loss, I think it’s going to be extremely hard for them to get motivated to play a poor team like Nebraska, especially with two huge home games against Illinois and Ohio State next up on the schedule.

Nebraska simply isn’t a popular team to bet on in college basketball, which in turn has allowed the oddsmakers to really set up the public. The Cornhuskers are 32-12 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997 and are 15-4 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997. BET NEBRASKA!

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